Football Best and worst draft picks: AFC

rynesandbergfan23

Bench Warmer
When it comes to draft picks, it's not always fair to say that the guy your team chose first overall when they were 2-14 the year before is automatically a brilliant selection.

Besides, it'd be a relatively boring exercise.

With that in mind, we'll honor both the best overall draft pick each team made regardless of position, as well as the pick which represented the best bang for a team's buck.

Baltimore Ravens

Best overall pick: T Jonathan Ogden, Round 1, Pick 4, 1996


The Ravens first-ever selection is still their best, eleven years later; and yes, he's a better pick than Ray Lewis, drafted by the Ravens later in the first round. While Lewis is perceived as the better player because of his mouth, he was the best linebacker in the league for all of one season before he was usurped by Derrick Brooks. He only really returned to his Pro Bowl form last year and, even then, he'd lost a step. Ogden's been trading the moniker of best tackle in the league with Walter Jones and Orlando Pace for a decade now, and should be a first-ballot Hall of Famer.

Best value pick: LB Adalius Thomas, Round 6, Pick 186, 2000

Even if you buy the line of thought that suggests Thomas' performance has been inflated so far by the defense that surrounds him, Thomas was just as good as his Baltimore predecessor, Peter Boulware, but he came 182 picks later.

Worst pick: WR Travis Taylor, Round 1, Pick 10, 2000

Taylor being here is due to the combination of the Ravens being excellent in the draft and only having existed for eleven years. Taylor was a serviceable wide receiver and was even miscast as a No. 1 target for a couple of years, but he's another data point in the case against SEC wide receivers. An easy cheat sheet, kids: SEC running backs good. SEC wide receivers ... not so good.

Buffalo Bills

Best overall pick: DE Bruce Smith, Round 1, Pick 1, 1985


Well, you say, it was the only time they had the first overall pick, so it should be the best pick. That's true, but keep in mind that the top 10 also featured people named Ron Holmes and Kevin Allen, who I believe may actually be pseudonyms as part of some bust protection program. It's easy to blow a pick, and the Bills grabbed the best player in the draft with the first pick, the way they're supposed to. That's a good job.

Best value pick: S Kurt Schulz, Round 7, Pick 195, 1992

While the teams of the glory years didn't feature many later picks at all, the teams that followed featured Schulz, who started for the Bills until 1999.

Worst pick: WR Perry Tuttle, Round 1, Pick 19, 1982

You could make a case here for Tom Cousineau, who went first overall in 1979 but then felt insulted by the Bills offer and went to play in Montreal for three years — the thing is, when he went back to the NFL, he signed with the Cleveland Browns. The Browns gave the Bills their first-round pick, which the Bills used to draft Jim Kelly. So, in the long run, it was a pretty successful pick. Tuttle had 25 catches in four seasons with the Bills.

Cincinnati Bengals

Best overall pick: T Anthony Munoz, Round 1, Pick 3, 1980


The man, the myth, the mustache. The best offensive lineman in NFL history? Very possibly. On the Bengals, though, being only the best overall pick in team history slights him some. He needs to be best-everest or something to point out how far he is above the rest of the pool

Best value pick: WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Round 7, Pick 204, 2001

I am tempted to award this to 1982 ninth-rounder Samoa Samoa solely for his name. Houshmandzadeh, though, has matured into a No. 2 wide receiver nonpareil, with talent enough to be a No. 1 on a good amount of teams.

Worst pick: QB Jack Thompson, Round 1, Pick 3, 1979

Why this quarterback selected third overall by the Bengals over the one selected twenty years later, Akili Smith? Well, Smith was the slightest bit better. He lasted an extra season on the Bengals roster and threw 100 or so more passes at about the same level of efficiency that Thompson did. Of course, you could view that as him struggling longer, and give Thompson the nod. Either way, they were both busts. One of the problems with failed picks like this is that teams will spend another high pick years later to make up for their earlier mistake. The Bengals' replacements for Thompson and Smith, respectively, were Boomer Esiason and Carson Palmer. Not half bad, actually.

Cleveland Browns

Best overall pick: LB Clay Matthews, Round 1, Pick 12, 1978


The Browns really have not drafted well over the last thirty years. Matthews was a good-to-very good linebacker for a number of years in the league, but he wasn't even the best player of his generation ... within his family.

Best value pick: RB Earnest Byner, Round 10, Pick 280, 1984

OK, so maybe Browns fans are a little bitter about The Fumble. Regardless, Byner still ran for over eight thousand yards. In Round 11 of this draft, the Bears chose **** Butkus' son, Mark. That should show you what was being tossed around this late — Byner may have a case for being the best value of any selection in the 1980s.

Worst pick: DE Courtney Brown, Round 1, Pick 1, 2000

Kellen Winslow's stellar 2006 season saves him from showing up here. A full list of defensive linemen better than Brown who went in the 2000 draft: Corey Simon, Shaun Ellis, John Abraham, Chris Hovan, Darren Howard, Cornelius Griffin, Fred Robbins, Darwin Walker, Kendrick Clancy, Robaire Smith, and Kabeer Gbaja-Bjamila. That's also being generous and not putting guys like Junior Ioane over Brown.

Denver Broncos

Best overall pick: S Steve Atwater, Round 1, Pick 20, 1989


The heart of the Broncos defense (along with the player below) for 10 years. Remember, they didn't draft John Elway.

Best value pick: LB Karl Mecklenburg, Round 12, Pick 310, 1983

You expected a running back? Sure, the Broncos are good at finding those, but if they still had a Round 12 in the draft today, people would be allowed to text a number and determine which player their favorite team would pick. Mecklenburg went to six Pro Bowls. Grabbing Shannon Sharpe and Tom Nalen in the seventh round were fantastic moves in their own right, and had Terrell Davis featured for one more year, he'd probably be worth more than Mecklenburg. Rod Smith, on the other hand, wasn't drafted. If he had been, he'd probably be their best value. There's also about 10-15 other guys in the nineties alone who would qualify on this list for most teams. The point: the Broncos are really, really good on Draft Day

Worst pick: DB Willie Middlebrooks, Round 1, Pick 24, 2001

Middlebrooks is one of the better "worst picks" a franchise can have, relative to guys like Curtis Enis or Tony Smith. Middlebrooks had a five-year career, but he was never the corner the Broncos wanted; then again, neither was Deltha O'Neal until he went to Cincinnati. Eventually, the Broncos decided to just let the league develop cornerbacks for them and, instead, developed players who could do most everything else.

Houston Texans

Best overall pick: WR Andre Johnson, Round 1, Pick 3, 2003

Imagine how good he'll be now that the Texans will let him run routes longer than seven yards. Of course, that doesn't change the fact that their quarterback might be on the ground at that point. Do you think Matt Schaub will find particular parts of the field he likes getting sacked on more than other parts? Do you think David Carr will just pass on that info?

Best value pick: QB Drew Henson, Round 6, Pick 192, 2003

The Texans got a third round pick for him, and turning a six into a three is always a good move. Of course, they spent the pick on Vernand Morency, which wasn't, but small victories. It's only been five years.

Worst pick: LB Jason Babin, Round 1, Pick 27, 2004

I think David Carr needs a chance to play elsewhere before we can say he's a total bust. Babin was drafted to provide pressure on the outside and has compiled 13 sacks in three seasons. On the other hand, he goes up against the Texans offensive line in practice, so it's not as if he has to work that hard.
 
Indianapolis Colts

Best overall pick: QB Peyton Manning, Round 1, Pick 1, 1998

Why, hello Mr. Franchise! Winning the Super Bowl pretty much earned Manning the Hall of Fame vote if he retired tomorrow morning. While the Colts drafted John Elway first overall as well, he demanded a trade and so the Colts didn't get the value from his performances. Even so, I think Manning's numbers through this point in his career are out of everyone's reach in football.

Best value pick: LB Cato June, Round 6, Pick 198, 2003

June's one of the most overrated players in football, but the Colts don't draft in the late rounds very well and grabbing a starting linebacker around Pick 200 is worth a tip of the cap.

Worst pick: QB Art Schlichter, Round 1, Pick 4, 1982

Schlichter was suspended in his sophomore campaign over gambling debts; he was cut after three seasons and threw only 202 passes with a 45 percent completion percentage. He still managed to be better than Ryan Leaf.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Best overall pick: DT Marcus Stroud, Round 1, Pick 13, 2001

You can split hairs between Stroud and John Henderson, but I'll take either over Fred Taylor, thank you very much. Not up to the standards of most franchises' best picks, but hey, they only have 12 years to work with so far.

Best value pick: LB Danny Clark, Round 7, Pick 245, 2000

Clark is no great shakes, but he is an effective journeyman linebacker and that beats out the Jaguars other mediocre late round picks. He also gets credit for being the best player out of what might be one of the worst draft classes in NFL history: the 2000 Jaguars group, which featured R. Jay Soward, Brad Meester, T.J. Slaughter, and other people whose names sound like pro wrestling baddies.

Worst pick: WR R. Jay Soward, Round 1, Pick 29, 2000

Speaking of! Soward's career in an NFL uniform saw him play one season and catch 14 passes, at which point his alcoholism caught up with him. Soward was last seen cut by Toronto in 2006.

Kansas City Chiefs

Best overall pick: G Will Shields, Round 3, Pick 74, 1993


Tony Gonzalez might end up being better, but Shields gets the nod right now for being a third-rounder and having four more years of work in. It's entirely possible, by the way, that the Chiefs selected the best guard in NFL history and the best tight end in NFL history within four years of each other and have kept them lining up in Kansas City for their entire careers. No wonder the Chiefs offense is always good.

Best value pick: G Dave Szott, Round 7, Pick 180, 1990

Grabbing Joe Horn out of a community college in the fifth round in 1996 was a smooth move as well; the only problem was that Horn waited to leave Kansas City before becoming a star. The Chiefs got eleven seasons out of Szott, who's now the Jets chaplain.

Worst overall pick: WR Sylvester Morris, Round 1, Pick 21, 2000

Morris couldn't stay on the field, suffering three consecutive season-ending injuries before giving up on football. Is this entirely the Chiefs fault? No. Is it their job to do due diligence medically before spending a first round pick on a player? Sure is.

Miami Dolphins

Best overall pick: QB Dan Marino, Round 1, Pick 27, 1983


Obvious. Who else? Jason Taylor would need to play at his 2006 level till he's about 70 to be this good.

Best value pick: LB Zach Thomas, Round 5, Pick 154, 1996

There are some positions where having an undersized player is a real problem. Thomas is a strong piece of evidence that middle linebacker is not one of them. The Dolphins have all kinds of nifty late-round selections, including the Mark Clayton/Anthony Carter combination in 1983.

Worst overall pick: T Billy Milner, Round 1, Pick 25, 1995

I'll take Miller over Yatil Green because Milner was just plain bad. Green at least had the marginal excuse of being hurt over and over again — if the Chiefs had Milner, he'd be their worst pick, too. John Avery is right up there with Milner in the "I lasted one year on the Dolphins" group of first-rounders.

New England Patriots

Best overall pick: DE Willie McGinest, Round 1, Pick 4, 1994

McGinest shows up here because of a combination of performance and longevity. Twelve years with a team is a whole lot, especially when you play up to McGinest's caliber. Will Tom Brady and Richard Seymour surpass him? Sure, in about two or three seasons of similarly-caliber play to how they're performing now. Want to talk about clutch, though? McGinest's fourth-down standing-up of Edgerrin James in 2003, a play he made by trusting his instinctual read, is as clutch a move as anything Tom Brady's done.

Best value pick: QB Tom Brady, Round 6, Pick 199, 2000

The best value for any pick in the history of the NFL Draft? Give Brady a couple more years, but he's on the path to making it so.

Worst pick: RB Robert Edwards, Round 1, Pick 18, 1998

You could go with Edwards, Andy Katzenmoyer, or Hart Lee Dykes (who played two years, fractured his kneecap, and then got into a fight with Irving Fryar that left him with a career-ending eye injury). Edwards' story is the most tragic, though: After a solid rookie season, he went to go play in the rookie flag football game in Hawaii and blew out his knee. It took him four years to get back to football. Poor guy.

New York Jets

Best overall pick: WR Keyshawn Johnson, Round 1, Pick 1, 1996

I like Keyshawn for two reasons. One, the Jets had a terrifyingly bad receiving corps in 1995 and Johnson was a legitimate No. 1 selection at their need position. Two, when it was time for him to go, the Jets got two first-round picks out of it that became Shaun Ellis and Anthony Becht. That's a pretty good pick.

Best value pick: RB Richie Anderson, Round 6, Pick 144, 1993

While Anderson's recently come under scrutiny for his off-field activities after retiring, he was a very good fullback with the Jets for ten years, which is plenty nice for a guy at the end of the second day.

Worst pick: WR Lam Jones, Round 1, Pick 2, 1980

Lam Jones is unquestionably an excellent name. He also wasn't a total bust in the way that a Yatil Green was, but he was not anything approaching what would be expected of a No. 2 pick. In five years with the Jets, he caught 138 passes and scored 13 touchdowns. The next wide receiver to come off the board? Art Monk.

Oakland Raiders

Best overall pick: WR Tim Brown, Round 1, Pick 8, 1988


Brown was that rarest of birds, the Notre Dame receiver who actually became underhyped as a player. While Marcus Allen's peak was better, Allen was world-class for three years and then merely good to very good for the rest of his career, Brown struggled for five seasons and then rolled off 10 1,000-yard seasons in a row. Nifty.

Best value pick: LB Rod Martin, Round 12, Pick 317, 1977

Getting one season out of your first-rounder is a bust. Two out of your second-rounder isn't much better. Three out of your third-rounder is reasonably acceptable. Getting twelve out of your twelfth-rounder? Two Pro Bowls and one of the best Super Bowl players of all time

Worst pick: QB Todd Marinovich, Round 1, Pick 24, 1991

There are some nicknames and monikers you never want to be attached to your name. "Cautionary Tale" is one of them. Marinovich was arrested in 2004 for skateboarding in a prohibited area; when you're skateboarding at 35, every area's prohibited.
 
Pittsburgh Steelers

Best overall pick: DB Rod Woodson, Round 1, Pick 10, 1987

The best draft pick by the team that laps the league on draft day. Really, only Dallas, Denver, and San Francisco have a claim on Pittsburgh's dominance in April, a competitive advantage without compare. They just don't miss. Ever. Of course, you can debate Woodson versus the great Steelers drafts of the 70's, but you can't blame Woodson for merely being a dominant player on a very good team as opposed to an excellent player on a dynasty. Eleven Pro Bowls, more than any other Steelers player, says a lot.

Best value pick: C Mike Webster, Round 5, Pick 125, 1974

It's your job to argue whether he was the best player taken in the '74 group (Lynn Swann, Jack Lambert, and John Stallworth also went). While there's some doubt about the credentials of Swann and Stallworth, all to be said is that when you draft multiple Hall of Famers in a single season, you are pretty much splitting some very gorgeous hair when you decide who the best pick was.

Worst pick: T Jamain Stephens, Round 1, Pick 29, 1996

Stephens never caught on as a starter, leaving Pittsburgh after two seasons and playing three more in Cincinnati.

San Diego Chargers

Best overall pick: LB Junior Seau, Round 1, Pick 5, 1990

How many years would LaDainian Tomlinson have to be LaDainian Tomlinson before he surpasses Seau? Eight? Seau had 12 Pro Bowls, and while a couple of those were of the "If he was in last year ..." variety, it's awfully hard to say that Tomlinson is worth more at this point. Leslie O'Neal might even still be ahead of Tomlinson, depending on how much credit you give Tomlinson as opposed to his offensive line (e.g. if you are not Michael Turner's agent).

Best value pick: S Rodney Harrison, Round 5, Pick 145, 1994

Chargers also grabbed Trent Green the year before. Imagine how good the Chargers would be if they had held onto Harrison before his career resurged with New England.

Worst pick: QB Ryan Leaf, Round 1, Pick 2, 1998

For most teams, Mossy Cade would go here. For those unfamiliar, the Chargers chose Cade with the sixth pick in the '84 draft; he never played a down for them, as he went to the USFL, and when he came back in '86, the Chargers traded him to the Packers for a first-rounder. Cade played two years before being convicted on **** charges, ending his career. Ryan Leaf requires no such introduction.

Tennessee Titans

Best overall pick: C Bruce Matthews, Round 1, Pick 9, 1983

Earl Campbell was really great for four seasons. Bruce Matthews went to more Pro Bowls than anyone in NFL history and played 19 seasons, during which he missed a grand total of eight games. Most draft picks that work out set your team for about four seasons, maybe five. Matthews was worth four to five times that.

Best value pick: DB Blaine Bishop, Round 8, Pick 214, 1993

Steve Largent would be here, but the Oilers traded him to the Seahawks at the end of camp in 1976 for an eighth-round pick. Oh well. There's also the really bizarre combination of Steve Tasker and Mike Golic going back to back in the ninth and 10th rounds in 1985.

Worst pick: RB George Amundson, Round 1, Pick 14, 1973

Taking Amundson (who had 74 carries in three professional seasons) and joining him with first overall pick John Matuszak (who spent one year with the Oilers before being traded to Kansas City) is a good way to stall your team's development by a year or two.

by Bill Barnwell
Fox Sports.Com
 
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